Down To The Wire: The Baker Race Enters Decisive Weekend

With their tournament championship and undefeated preliminary record at Stanford, St. Mark’s Rishee Batra and Alex Miles have put themselves in contention to win the Baker Award. Entering the final maximum-point qualifying tournaments of the season this weekend at Harvard and Berkeley, Westminster’s Ellis Allen and Daniel Taylor remain atop the standings and are the prohibitive favorite. Thanks to their performance at Stanford, however, St. Mark’s has an outside chance to unseat the season-long number one with a win at Harvard.

How can it happen? The answer is below the fold.

Entering the Harvard tournament, Westminster has a 67 point edge on St. Mark’s, 1484.5 to 1417.5. In order to make up the margin, St. Mark’s needs to win Harvard with either an undefeated or 6-1 preliminary round record. Even then, however, they need some help from Westminster.

  1. If St. Mark’s wins Harvard with an undefeated preliminary round record, they will win the Baker Award unless Westminster also posts an undefeated preliminary round record and loses to St. Mark’s in finals. In that scenario—St. Mark’s defeating Westminster in the finals after both teams compile 7-0 prelim records—Westminster will eek out St. Mark’s by the narrowest of margins, 1559.2 to 1551.1.

  2. If St. Mark’s wins Harvard with a 6-1 preliminary round record, they will win the Baker Award unless Westminster compiles one of the following records: 7-0, semifinals or better; 6-1, finals or better; 5-2, win.

Wondering about a particular scenario? The following is a list of the Baker totals that each team can post based on their performance at Harvard.

Westminster

7-0, win = 1639.2
7-0, finals = 1559.2
7-0, semifinals = 1527.2
7-0, quarterfinals = 1495.2
7-0, octafinals = 1484.5
7-0, doubles = 1484.5

6-1, win = 1586.6
6-1, finals = 1518.1
6-1, semifinals = 1490.6
6-1, quarterfinals = 1484.5
6-1, octafinals = 1484.5
6-1, doubles = 1484.5

5-2, win = 1534.1
5-2, finals = 1484.5
5-2, semifinals = 1484.5
5-2, quarterfinals = 1484.5
5-2, octafinals = 1484.5
5-2, doubles = 1484.5

St. Mark’s

7-0, win = 1551.1
7-0, finals = 1475.1
7-0, semifinals = 1443.1
7-0, quarterfinals = 1417.5
7-0, octafinals = 1417.5
7-0, doubles = 1417.5

6-1, win = 1502.6
6-1, finals = 1434.0
6-1, semifinals = 1417.5
6-1, quarterfinals = 1417.5
6-1, octafinals = 1417.5
6-1, doubles = 1417.5

5-2, win = 1450.0
5-2, finals = 1417.5
5-2, semifinals = 1417.5
5-2, quarterfinals = 1417.5
5-2, octafinals = 1417.5
5-2, doubles = 1417.5

22 thoughts on “Down To The Wire: The Baker Race Enters Decisive Weekend

  1. dtay

    The scenerio where St Marks wins with a 6-1, but we simultaneously win with a 5-2 to win the baker is particularly intriguing to me… please explain more 😛

    1. Bill Batterman Post author

      I had to account for all possibilities, Daniel. What if Jon Voss is on the final round panel, passes out during the 1AR, and is unable to render a decision? Double win.

      Touche. 🙂

    1. dtay

      You think its possible for St Marks to lose a flip? Thats a joke. Miles doesn't lose flips, the coin's too scared.

  2. Jake

    Why is it that St. Mark's hasn't lost an aff elim debate this year? Hmmmm…..maybe its because St. Mark's is the most innovative South Korea team in the country and is one of the hardest working teams too, but regardless, of course we should make uniformed, incorrect, hurtful assertions concerning other(better) teams, ones that seemingly would be disproved by the fact that, oh ya, they're in the top 2 of the Baker, which in case you didn't know is for season-long excellence which includes, shockingly, a fair amount of debates where they are affirmative.

      1. Kyle S.

        i dont know why this has "negative" points. It was a genuine question: do you consider their aff to be innovative or what? The reason Im asking is bc I debate on a much smaller circuit but also run SKorea, so just curious, thats all 🙂

    1. Ian Wren

      "Thanks to their performance at Stanford, however, St. Mark’s has an outside chance to unseat the season-long number one with a win at Harvard."

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